• Climate Change

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Climate Change & Forests

Research Available from NCASI

• Modelling Forest Carbon Stocks: Status and Application of the Carbon Budget Model of the Canadian Forest Sector (CBM-CFS3) Webcast. (March 2, 2011) NCASI and Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) co-hosted this webcast to discuss the state of forest modeling capabilities in North America, the development of modeling on key issues such as harvested wood products, and the identification of opportunities to leverage the knowledge that both NRCan and NCASI can bring to the advances of forest models that are relevant and of practical utility to the forest products industry.
• Climate Change: Detection and Attribution of Trends from Long-Term Geologic Data. NCASI Special Report No. 03-01 (January 2003).
• Review and Analysis of JABOWA and Related Forest Models and their Use in Climate Change Studies. NCASI Technical Bulletin No. 717 (January 1996). 
• Global Change and Forest Responses: Theoretical Basis, Projections, and Uncertainties. NCASI Technical Bulletin No. 690 (January 1995).

Research involving NCASI that is available elsewhere

• Loehle, C. 2014. A minimal model for estimating climate sensitivity. Ecological Modelling 276-80-84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.01.006  
• Loehle, C. 2014. Climate change is unlikely to cause a biodiversity crisis: evidence from Northen latitude tree responses to warming. Energy & Environment 25(1): 147-153. https://dx.doi.org/10.1260%2F0958-305X.25.1.147  
• Loehle C. and N. Scafetta. 2011. Climate change attribution using empirical decomposition of climatic data. The Open Atmospheric Science Journal 5:74-86. https://dx.doi.org/10.2174/1874282301105010074  
• Loehle, C. and S.F. Singer. 2010. Holocene temperature records show millennial-scale periodicity. Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences 47: 1327-1336. https://doi.org/10.1139/E10-050  
• Loehle, C. 2009.A mathematical analysis of the divergence problem in dendroclimatology. Climate Change 94: 233-245. https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9488-8  
• Loehle, C. 2007. A 2000-year global temperature reconstruction based on non-treering proxies. Energy & Environment 18(7-8): 1049-1058. https://doi.org/10.1260/095830507782616797. [Correction was published in Energy & Environment 19(1): 93-100. https://doi.org/10.1260/095830508783563109] Note: Figure 1 data are available in this CSV file. Supplemental data are available in this ZIP file. 
• Loehle, C. 2007. Predicting Pleistocene climate from vegetation in North America. Climate of the Past 3:109-118. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-3-109-2007  
• Loehle, C. 2006. Climate change in the context of long-term geological data. Chap. 1 in Focus on Ecology Research, edited by A.R. Burk. Hauppauge, NY: Nova Science Publishers, Inc.
• Loehle, C. 2005. Estimating climatic timeseries from multi-site data afflicted with dating error. Mathematical Geology 37(2): 127-140. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11004-005-1305-6 
• Loehle, C. 2004. Using historical climate data to evaluate climate trends: Issues of statistical inference. Energy & Environment 15(1): 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1260/095830504322986457 
• Loehle, C. 2004. Climate change: Detection and attribution of trends from long-term geologic data. Ecological Modelling, 171(4): 433-450. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2003.08.013 
• Loehle, C. 2000. Forest ecotone response to climate change: Sensitivity to temperature response functional forms. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 30(10): 632-1645. https://doi.org/10.1139/x00-088 
• Loehle, C. 1996. Forest response to climate change. Journal of Forestry 94(9): 13-15. https://doi.org/10.1139/x00-088 
• Loehle, C. 1998. Height growth rate tradeoffs determine northern and southern range limits for trees. Journal of Biogeography 25(4): pp 735-742. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2699.1998.2540735.x 
• Loehle, C. and B. LeBlanc. 1996. Model-based assessments of climate change effects on forests: A critical review. Ecological Modeling, 90(1): 1-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3800(96)83709-4